Eigenrac Regional Intelligence Reporting and Analysis
Security Insights – Nigeria 21 Jan – 2025
KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN NIGERIA THIS WEEK
Fuel tanker explosion in Nigeria kills 98: A fuel tanker explosion in Niger state, central Nigeria, killed 98 people and injured around 50 others on Saturday. The 60,000-liter tanker crashed near Abuja, spilling fuel that locals attempted to siphon using generators, triggering the blast. Victims are receiving treatment at local hospitals, while a mass burial has been conducted for those killed. Similar incidents, caused by people gathering to scoop spilled fuel from crashed tankers, have claimed dozens of lives multiple times in recent months, with officials warning the death toll from this latest tragedy may rise. Niger State Governor Mohammed Umar Bago has prohibited heavy-duty trucks from using the Dikko Bridge following the incident.
Osun government maintains curfew amid communal clashes: The Osun State Government has confirmed that the 7 pm to 7 am curfew in Ilobu and Ifon Orolu communities will stay in effect until lasting peace is achieved. Imposed by Governor Ademola Adeleke after recent violence resulted in injuries and the death of a polytechnic student, the curfew aims to prevent further unrest. Security forces have restored calm, while plans are underway to establish a committee of stakeholders, including local monarchs and state officials, to mediate and resolve the conflict. Officials stress that the curfew will only be lifted after full peace is restored.
Risk Categories
Conflict: HighCrime: CRITICALHealth and Medical: MediumKidnap and Ransom: CRITICALPersonal Safety: High Natural and Environment: MediumPolitical Overview: MediumTerrorism: HighUnrest: Medium
Nigerian police repel bandit attacks and intensify anti-trafficking efforts: In Katsina State, Governor Dikko Radda condemned a recent bandit attack on Kankara General Hospital, calling it a cruel assault on vulnerable patients and healthcare workers. He announced enhanced security measures, including increased personnel at healthcare facilities statewide. Police operatives in Kogi and Katsina States successfully intercepted planned bandit attacks on 18 January. In Kogi, officers neutralized one bandit, arrested four others, and seized weapons and motorcycles. In Katsina, security forces repelled an attack on Ruwan Doruwa Village, killing seven bandits and recovering 109 stolen livestock. Additionally, the Nigeria Police Force intensified efforts against human trafficking, rescuing over 207 children from suspected traffickers across the country.
Recorded Instances of Political Violence and Civil Unrest
igeria’s new partnership with BRICS presents a significant opportunity to advance its economic agenda, particularly in attracting investments and addressing key infrastructure challenges. By strengthening ties with powerful economies like China, India, and Brazil, Nigeria can tap into vital resources for sectors such as energy, agriculture, and manufacturing, which are crucial for its economic diversification. Furthermore, BRICS-backed developmental initiatives, particularly in infrastructure, may provide Nigeria with the support needed to improve its electricity and transport networks. With increased access to export markets, particularly for its oil and natural gas, Nigeria stands to enhance its position within global trade. The partnership illustrates a shifting global power dynamic, where emerging markets and developing nations are playing a larger role. While Nigeria’s inclusion enhances its regional influence, the country will need to align its economic policies and governance to fully capitalize on these opportunities and manage the complexities that come with being a partner in such a bloc.
The Nigeria Police Force’s proactive approach to crime-fighting in 2025 is poised to have a substantial impact on the country’s security landscape. Intelligence-driven operations, such as the successful interception of bandit attacks in Kogi and Katsina states, suggest that tactical shifts in law enforcement could disrupt organized criminal activities more effectively. Continued anti- trafficking efforts, including the rescue of over 200 children from traffickers, point to a growing commitment to combat serious crimes that undermine societal stability. In the longer term, if these efforts are sustained, Nigeria may see a reduction in rural banditry and human trafficking. However, the challenges of managing widespread criminal networks and ensuring consistent cooperation between agencies remain significant. Enhanced security measures, particularly in vulnerable areas like healthcare facilities, will likely bolster public confidence in law enforcement. Still, long-term success will depend on continued investment in training, resources, and coordination with other regions and stakeholders.